Statistical Signal Processing & Inference

A rigorous foundation in statistical estimation theory for the design of signal processing and machine learning algorithms, covering random signals, linear stochastic models, optimal estimators, and adaptive filters.

Instructor: Prof. Danilo Mandic

Term: Spring

Location: Imperial College London, Dept. of EEE

Course Overview

This course provides a rigorous foundation in statistical inference and estimation, equipping students with the mathematical tools and practical expertise to design optimal learning machines for real-world data — guided by the principle: “Use your knowledge and not brute force.”

Role: Graduate Teaching Assistant (2024–2026, Spring terms)

Learning Outcomes

  • Understand random signals, their properties, and statistical descriptors
  • Build and analyse linear stochastic models (AR, MA, ARMA)
  • Derive optimal estimators and rigorous performance bounds (CRLB)
  • Apply Least Squares, BLUE, and Maximum Likelihood methods
  • Design adaptive filters for nonstationary and streaming data
  • Gain practical experience with real-world signals: speech, physiology, finance

Prerequisites

  • No formal prerequisites required
  • Digital Signal Processing (helpful)
  • Basic probability & statistics (helpful)
  • Working knowledge of MATLAB (important for coursework)

Textbooks

  • Fundamentals of Statistical Signal Processing — S. Kay
  • Time Series Analysis — Box & Jenkins
  • Statistical Digital Signal Processing — M. Hayes
  • Adaptive Filter Theory — S. Haykin
  • Recurrent Neural Networks — Mandic & Chambers

Assessment

  • 5 MATLAB-based coursework assignments: 100%

Schedule

Week Date Topic Materials
1 Background on Random Signals

Ensemble averages, PDFs, mean and variance; introduction to the statistical inference paradigm.

2 Time Series Analysis & Linear Stochastic Models

AR, MA, ARMA models; sunspot estimation example; representing long signals with few parameters.

3 Introduction to Estimation Theory

Statistical estimation paradigm; applications in radar, speech, biomedicine, communications, and seismics.

4 Bias-Variance Dilemma & Performance Bounds

Minimum Variance Unbiased (MVU) estimation; Cramér-Rao Lower Bound (CRLB); sufficient statistics.

5 BLUE & Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Best Linear Unbiased Estimator; MLE motivation via GPS, generative AI, HDD controllers; sinusoidal frequency estimation.

6 The Method of Least Squares

Block & sequential LS; linear and logistic regression; CAPM estimation; orthogonality principle.

7 Adaptive Learning & Inference

Wiener filter; adaptive filters for nonstationary data; noise-cancelling headphones; foetal ECG extraction; artificial neuron model.